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What if I told you there is a large group of people who have 60% to 80% of their net worth tied up in a single, ultra-concentrated, micro-cap equity investment?
And what if I told you that many of those same people have taken surprisingly few steps to manage that risk?
You might assume we are talking about speculative investors chasing returns. In reality, we are usually talking about successful business owners.
The One Asset Everyone Is Comfortable Ignoring
This is not because business owners are reckless. Quite the opposite. Most people in this position are thoughtful, disciplined, and deeply involved in what they have built. They understand their business better than anyone else, navigated challenges, made hard decisions, and earned their success the slow way.
That familiarity creates confidence. Often, deserved confidence. The issue is not whether the business is “good” or “bad.” The issue is how dominant it is within the overall financial picture.
It is not unusual for a closely held business to represent the majority of a family’s net worth. Sometimes that number is 60%. Sometimes it is 80% or more. When that is the case, most of the family’s long-term financial outcomes depend on a single, concentrated, illiquid asset that is emotionally tied to the owner.
That does not automatically make it a problem, but it certainly means it deserves to be treated as what it is: a very large investment with significant risk.
Familiarity Has a Way of Feeling Like Safety
I’d suggest that many people don’t think about their businesses when risk management comes up in planning. Portfolios feel abstract. Businesses feel tangible. You can open an account and see a portfolio move every day. That visibility makes portfolio risk feel real, even when it is diversified and relatively contained.
A business is different. You live day-to-day and go through the natural cycle of overcoming problem solving. Over time, that involvement creates a sense of control. Risk feels manageable because it feels close.
The challenge is that many of the most meaningful risks tied to a business are not the ones you are actively managing.
The Risks We Need to Plan For
When we talk about business risk, we want to be sober-minded about the variables that can dramatically affect the cash flow or valuation of the business.
Key person risk is a common one. Many businesses rely heavily on one individual’s relationships, judgment, or presence. Health issues, burnout, or extended time away can change the trajectory more than most people expect. It might be you as the owner, a business partner, or another critical executive leader.
Revenue concentration is another. Losing a single customer or contract does not have to be catastrophic to materially affect cash flow and valuation. Business owners generally know this, but it’s easy to procrastinate with a “we will grow our way out of it,” without acknowledging the risk it’s creating right now.
There are also risks that sit almost entirely outside the owner’s control. Supply chain disruptions. Regulatory changes. Industry shifts. Timing matters here more than people like to admit. We have seen more than one exit plan change because of market conditions.
And valuation. Then there is the assumption that the business will eventually be sold for a specific value, under reasonable conditions, at a time that fits neatly into the rest of the financial plan. That assumption often carries more weight than anyone realizes.
Risk Management for Owners
The business does not exist in a vacuum. Here are a few of the Fully-Integrated planning considerations we always want to be balancing:
- Its risk profile affects the amount of liquidity needed elsewhere.
- It influences how aggressive or conservative the investment portfolio should be.
- It shapes tax planning decisions.
- It plays a central role in estate and succession planning, whether that is acknowledged explicitly or not.
Where things tend to break down is not inside any one discipline. It is in the handoffs between them. This is usually not the result of bad advice as much as it is the result of fragmented advice.
Owners Need Fully-Integrated Planning
Fully-integrated financial planning does not make risk disappear. What it does is make it visible. It forces coordination between decisions that are often made separately, and ideally, it replaces assumptions with context.
For business owners in particular, that is usually the point where planning stops being theoretical and starts being practical. Too much depends on getting it right.
That shift, more than anything else, is where good planning tends to earn its keep.
